AnalysisCover

The new realism of Kenya turns the page of the Polisario

The new Kenya realizes that Moroccan diplomacy has made great strides on the continent, reinforced by the return of Rabat to the African Union, with its strong economic, political, security and investment relations with West and East African countries.
Friday 09/24/2022
President William Ruto had a positive attitude towards the Sahara issue

 

Kenyan President William Ruto’s decision to reverse his country’s recognition of the Polisario serves Kenya in the first place, after the new leadership was convinced that this fictitious entity did not and will not provide the support it awaits at the level of economy, food security, trade exchange and politics. The desire and need of the new president to fulfill his promises in terms of improving food production and ensuring long-term food security, which definitely goes through Moroccan fertilizers.

The deletion of the Kenyan president’s post in which he stressed the severing of relations with the paper republic has fueled many rumors coming from the pro-separatist camp, rumors claiming that it is evidence of the current Kenyan leadership’s adherence to the position adopted by Kenya since 2014. But deleting a tweet or keeping it does not determine the course of foreign policy For a country like Kenya, this country has begun to know that its path to prosperity does not pass through the Polisario, a fact expressed by the new president, and he would not have risked the decision to sever his country’s relations with the separatist entity, if he was not sure of its political and economic effects on Kenya.

What is similar today to yesterday when many questioned the continuity of the American administration in the approach of former President Donald Trump regarding the issue of the Moroccan Sahara, when Trump expressed his decision to recognize Morocco’s sovereignty over its Sahara through a tweet on Twitter, and the decision is still steadfast until now, but many Water under the bridge of bilateral relations between Washington and Rabat supported Morocco’s position.

◙ Nairobi does not want to lose Rabat against the “Polisario of the Fake State”, whose decision depends on the hands of others.

For this reason, Raila Odinga, the former prime minister and rival of William Ruto in the presidential elections, denied a report that tried to implicate him politically, that he criticized the new position adopted by the Kenyan president regarding the Sahara issue, acknowledging explicitly and unequivocally the importance of relations between Kenya and Morocco, which will benefit both countries. This means that there is an agreement between the two parties on the approach of quiet diplomacy to deal with this file, especially with the failure to form a new government whose components are not yet known.

President William Ruto had a positive position on the Sahara file by his support for the autonomy scheme when he was the former vice president, and that tweet did not stem from a political vacuum or a miscalculation of the situation as much as it is a sign of separation between the former Kenya and the new Kenya, Kenya, which he promised to be “transparent and open and democratic,” he said, taking the path of pragmatism and political realism in decision-making, and without reservation he said that his country supports the political process sponsored by the United Nations as the only mechanism that can help the parties reach a political solution.

The visit of Moroccan Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita to Nairobi on the night of the inauguration of the new president and his presentation of a written message from Moroccan King Mohammed VI is a preemptive measure for any manipulation by Polisario supporters inside the capital, and a protection for the position of the new Kenya, which was the result of a focused and careful previous diplomatic work, as Morocco looks at the role The importance that Kenya plays in Africa As one of its most important forces, and as a non-permanent member of the United Nations Council, Kenya’s position is significant on the issue of territorial integrity.

◙ Nasser Bourita’s visit to Nairobi on the night of the inauguration of the new president and his presentation of a written message from Moroccan King Mohammed VI, a preemptive measure for any manipulation by Polisario supporters inside the capital

There is a heavy burden on the economy, and economic challenges require urgent attention from a president who seems unfazed by his good and realistic handling of political crises. Kenya is going through the worst drought in four decades, the worst locust invasion in seven decades, in addition to the effects of the Covid epidemic, along with debt, Public debt has increased fivefold to $72 billion, and the inflationary impact of the war in Ukraine, where the inflation rate has risen to 9 percent, the highest rate in five years, and the unemployment rate is estimated at 14 percent, and its problems require quick and practical solutions.

The situation in Kenya is not just one crisis as low- and middle-income Kenyans face food and fuel shortages, and opponents of President William Ruto are betting that he is unlikely to deliver on his early economic promises, hampering his government’s ability to implement fiscal consolidation measures to ensure fiscal sustainability. debt, and the fulfillment of his political promises.

After his inauguration on September 13, Ruto reiterated his commitment to alleviating the cost of living crisis in Kenya during his first 100 days in office. The volume has a reliable access to credit in line with its rejection of high spending on direct aid measures.

The Kingdom of Morocco is ready to cooperate with the new president in achieving his ambitions and policies, and considers Kenya a country with which it can establish mutual trade cooperation and coordination in policies, visions and positions. For this reason, Morocco proposes to intensify cooperation with the new Kenya in the fields of trade, agriculture, sanitation, health, tourism and energy, among other things. Others, especially phosphate, are vital for the development of agriculture in Kenya.

◙ Delete or keep a tweet does not determine the course of the foreign policy of a country like Kenya, this country is beginning to know that its path to prosperity does not pass through the Polisario

William Ruto had promised to announce new prices for corn flour and fertilizer, noting that realpolitik meant a rapprochement with Morocco in the crucial field of fertilizer, as the main destination for all countries seeking to increase their agricultural production in order to achieve their food security.

The new president’s ambitions are great. He has a will to reschedule Kenya’s debts to reduce service costs and free up resources for development. Kenya, as he sees it, has the ability to repay its loans, with his pledge to increase social spending for the poorest families, especially since Kenya is found in internal and regional fault lines that are driven by contradictions Politics, race, religion and class, and it is necessary to resolve crises quickly and effectively, and the ambitions of the president need financial resources, and it is certain that Moroccan banks and companies investing in the continent are ready to interact with those ambitions positively.

Today, the new Kenya realizes that the royal diplomacy has made great strides within the continent, and was reinforced by the return of Rabat five years ago to the African Union, with its strong economic, political, security and investment relations with West and East African countries. Others, and some politicians should not fall into the trap of unrealism and populism and obstruct the course of things and put an end to dealing with an entity that is useless at all levels.

 

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